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Todd Allen

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About Todd Allen

  • Birthday 08/21/1964

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  1. Here is Dr. Peter McCullough quite alarmed about the way these vaccines are being used. When people speak with certainty it usually puts me off, but I am concerned he might be mostly right. https://www.bitchute.com/video/95lJP00jEZhu/
  2. Todd Allen

    LDL: What's Optimal For Health And Longevity?

    Yes, I think context is everything. Statistical findings for any given biomarker across a cohort or population may not hold for a different cohort. Looking at very different cohorts producing very different results is desirable.
  3. I doubt it but if that is true then the vaccinated will have zero protection from new strains that evade the narrow immune response produced by the vaccines. (edit) Rereading this I guess what they are saying only applies to the vaccination itself and not what happens when a vaccinated person gets exposed to the virus. In the case of exposure my expectation is the immune response will be broadened but not as much as in the unvaccinated. To what degree vaccines impede the development of natural immunity I think is a vital question for which I've yet to see compelling data.
  4. Todd Allen

    LDL: What's Optimal For Health And Longevity?

    Yet another study finding low LDL is deadly: Low density lipoprotein cholesterol and all-cause mortality rate: findings from a study on Japanese community-dwelling persons
  5. Todd Allen

    How much salt?

    > The mean 24-hour urinary sodium excretion was 4.3 g (187 mmol), and the mean 24-hour urinary potassium excretion was 1.4 g (36 mmol) Considering our RDA for potassium is 4.7 g vs 2.3 g for sodium their urinary excretion ratio is off by about a factor of 6. I don't know what percent of each is typically lost to urine versus other excretions but being this whacked I wonder how much of the benefit was due to sodium reduction versus the increase in potassium and bringing the two more in balance?
  6. Here is a little background on the letter noting that two of the authors were recent prominent resignations from the FDA. https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/09/top-fda-regulators-blast-us-booster-plan-after-announcing-resignations/
  7. https://academic.oup.com/ajcn/advance-article/doi/10.1093/ajcn/nqab270/6369073
  8. An attack on "science" by John Ioannidis. A bit ranty and light on specifics although when ones house is on fire merely yelling fire is understandable. https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/science/articles/pandemic-science
  9. That was the biggest issue for me in April. The Marek's vaccines each lasted for years before immune escape developed. But they were traditional vaccines produced from cultured virus generating broad immune response. The covid-19 vaccines available in the US target a narrow range of antigens making them more susceptible to immune escape. I think Read is correct that even without vaccination immune escape would develop as the antigens were all in the spike protein and are key to transmission and thus subject to great selection pressure in the unvaccinated. But it is widely believed that in a vaccinated population the selection pressure is further refined to the strains that spread best through the vaccinated. We have witnessed decline in covid-19 vaccine effectiveness in the past few months. Israel was likely the first most extreme example due to vaccinating early and aggressively with a single vaccine. They also avoided a massive outbreak prior to vaccination and probably had less natural immunity. But there is evidence vaccine effectiveness is declining in other heavily vaccinated countries. Rates of hospitalization and death among the vaccinated in the UK are not far behind Israel: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201 Looking at table 5 of the most recent report #22, recent data for the over 50 years category where most deaths occur shows: of 71,107 confirmed covid delta cases 6,724 were unvaccinated of 7,154 cases of emergency visits resulting in hospital admission 2,019 were unvaccinated of 1,644 deaths 437 were unvaccinated In the UK vaccines still provide modest protection against hospitalization and death per case of infection but looking at previous reports one can see the trajectory is bad. I no longer see the risk of additional vaccinations accelerating immune escape as an issue of concern. The vaccines are becoming so leaky the majority of transmission has been occurring among the vaccinated in Israel and the UK. If leaky vaccines are driving immune escape the process should continue and probably accelerate without additional vaccinations. The benefit of vaccination is declining not just by loss of efficacy of preventing hospitalization and death but also because case fatality rates have declined in the unvaccinated. This combined with the risk of ADE is now my primary reason to not get vaccinated. ADE arises when non-neutralizing antibodies dominate and interfere with neutralizing antibodies. These vaccines sidestepped this issue by targeting a limited number of antigens for which primarily neutralizing antibodies were produced. But we see vaccine induced antibody levels plummet in 6 months. And the evolving spike protein creates significant risk vaccine induced antibodies will lose sufficient capacity to neutralize: SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 Delta variant replication and immune evasion There is also the possibility current vaccinations interfere with future vaccines better targeted to the viral strains of the day. This has been seen with flu vaccines and is hypothesized to be aggravated when the evolutionary distance between a new vaccine and its targeted antigens grows large compared to the distance between the new vaccine and previous vaccines. Serial Vaccination and the Antigenic Distance Hypothesis: Effects on Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness During A(H3N2) Epidemics in Canada, 2010–2011 to 2014–2015 Here is Read's 2015 paper on Marek's: Imperfect Vaccination Can Enhance the Transmission of Highly Virulent Pathogens Considering covid-19 vaccines are losing their capacity to reduce disease and so far the virus has been evolving toward increased infectiousness with no apparent increase in deadliness among the unvaccinated I agree with Read's position that the risk of vaccines driving increased deadliness is no reason to skip vaccination. But the reasons I have pointed out should weigh into one's personal risk to benefit ratio calculations. For myself I feel no urgency to act as I don't currently perceive an emergency level of personal threat and I am content to continue waiting and watching to see how this evolves. This may be true but it is also true that Marek's disease now flares much more severely in unvaccinated flocks. If Marek's evolves to make the jump into wild birds it could be devastating. Likewise imagine a scenario where a covid-19 vaccine produces full protection against disease while still being leaky for infection and transmission. This could produce positive feedback between vaccination rates and viral deadliness leading to a utopia where all of humanity must be vaccinated and harbors an ever more virulent virus that could devastate wildlife.
  10. And still is. Here's an editorial he wrote last week I expect you will like a lot. I agree with most of the details but feel it falls short as it fails to address a couple crucial issues. Vaccines could affect how the coronavirus evolves - but that’s no reason to skip your shot
  11. Here's an article from 2018 discussing the process by which vaccines drive pathogens to evolve. https://www.quantamagazine.org/how-vaccines-can-drive-pathogens-to-evolve-20180510
  12. This reminds me of Ron Put's statements last spring comparing the 20,000 US deaths from covid-19 to the much greater death tolls from seasonal influenzas. The worrying thing then was not the numbers but the trajectory, exponential growth in cases and deaths. Looking at where we are today with vaccines still providing some protection but ignoring the trajectory, the rapid drop in protection of vaccination, I expect will be an equally grave mistake.
  13. Fact checkers spread the idea that because the delta variant arose in India at a time when vaccines were being trialed and not in widespread use it is the unvaccinated driving viral evolution. This appeals to those unaware variants are actually lineages which can develop countless substrains. The many substrains of delta spreading through the vaccinated rose to prominence after widespread vaccination. Here's a graph of delta phylogeny taken from https://nextstrain.org/ncov/gisaid/global
  14. I found the data interesting but their conclusions appear misguided. It is not looking good for the jabbing war on covid, despite Israel’s record setting triple jabbing of the most vulnerable: Worldometer data from 9/1/2021 Daily cases/million deaths/million Israel 2206.8 4.62 US 559.3 4.47 I think Israel had the highest case rate per million of any country by a wide margin and their case trajectory has been on a steep climb for weeks. It will be curious to see how this goes as they expand boosters to ever younger segments of their population. I've seen graphs of a significant excess mortality rate tracking with the vaccination rate and it will be interesting to see if young adults will see as many unexpected heart attacks as the elderly have been having in the week after their boosters.
  15. University of California San Diego Health workforce experienced major increase of breakthrough infections in July. Resurgence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in a Highly Vaccinated Health System Workforce
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