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Ron Put

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Everything posted by Ron Put

  1. I am not sure what the point of this is. Like all living things, viruses and bacteria evolve, coronaviruses generally less rapidly than most. It’s always “too soon” to know if such mutations can cause more severe diseases, but we don’t usually shut down society or curtail civil liberties based on it. And it’s absurd to even ask if I am “absolutely certain” or “what level of risk would most parents find acceptable for their children” — these are nonsensical questions. Absolute certainty is the domain of religion, not of science, and it is fairly well-established that SARS-2 poses less risk to children than the flu, despite the possibility of that some idiot might be unable to make basic risk assessments and will lock their offspring away. The data is fuzzy, but generally, Omicron appears to be often asymptomatic in healthy people (India claims 72% are asymptomatic and the reports from South Africa were sort of in line). For comparison, influenza infections are symptomatic in 50% or more of cases. Bright minds do what they always do: They research, make arguments based on such research and engage in debates with other bright minds. The not-so-bright are the real danger: They are convinced that theirs is the only truth and see those who disagree as evil, to be personally attacked and destroyed, to snuff out their heretical ideas. It is remarkable how religious in nature the above two “arguments” appear to be. Religious folks rarely address the direct challenges to their faith, they generally simply ignore them. I haven’t seen even an attempt to address the points made by posters here, or by experts like Ioannidis, Kulldorff, Atlas or Bhattacharya. Not even an indication of awareness of their arguments and the data they present. Most religious folks are not all that well versed in the subject and ignore all disagreeable facts, instead generally defending their faith in one of two ways: — They attack the source or the person who challenges their faith. Since they are absolutely convinced of the truth of what they believe in, it follows that only evil people reject such self-evident truth, and evil must be destroyed. Thus we have mobs petitioning Stanford to fire Ioannidis or Levitt, writing to demand that grants are withdrawn or denied, and applying pressure on journals that may consider publishing such heresies. AP is very consistent in this manner. — They flood the medium with passages from their religious sources and from apologists, often irrelevant to the discussion, but affirming their faith and expressing it for the benefit of others nevertheless, as everyone should witness their truth, the only truth, and repetition is common to all religions. -- They ignore the arguments and facts presented by those who challenge their faith, but ask questions, often inane ones, over and over, demanding answers and then disregarding them, asking new questions and demanding new answers instead. More broadly, there are clear religious veins running through the woke/neo-Marxist wave that flooded the West over the last decade and weaponized and rode the fears of SARS-2 to gain political victories. Putin managed to pause the self-loathing and self0destructive impulses convulsing the Western democracies, but unfortunately, such pause may be all too brief: Free speech, the foundation of democracy, is under a renewed attack, with the Biden Administration’s announcement (two days after Musk’s Twitter acquisition agreement) that it is markedly broadening the scope and increasing the powers of its Ministry of Truth. The newly established Disinformation Governance Board at the Department of Homeland Security appears focused on domestic “disinformation” and “malformation” (the latter apparently factual information that does not conform to the prevailing policies). It will “guide” private industry to ensure that only what is officially sanctioned will see the light of the privately-held public squares, effectively circumventing the constitutional free speech protections by using private businesses as proxies. Its newly appointed lead, Nina Jankowicz, just fired the first salvo, calling the parents who challenged critical race theory in Virginia “disinformers.” Twitter will certainly fall within this revamped Ministry of Truth's domain. And just in case, a bunch of left-wing non-profits are already sending warnings to Twitter's advertisers, threatening them if they advertise under Musk’s ownership. This is right out of 1984 and it is much, much scarier than SARS-2.
  2. Did anyone else here get the beta invite email: "Early access to Tally Health's biological age test beta is here! Hi again from David Sinclair. My team at Tally Health and I have been developing an at-home test that will measure your biological age as our first step in our work to increase access to tools that add extra years of health and vitality to life. To participate in our beta program and get early access to our test for free, fill out our quick survey... ..."
  3. Thanks for this, I hadn't seen it. I have become more skeptical about the oxalate "problem" as I've read about it. It doesn't make sense and there are likely other factors. Otherwise, there would have been a more noticeable connection between, say spinach consumption, and mortality. Instead, the opposite appears to be true: See this and this, for example. For what it's worth, US calcium recommendations appear to be rather inflated, due at least partially to hard lobbying by the dairy industry, based on what I've read.
  4. Those who got alternative vaccines might find this interesting:
  5. A good lecture and Q&A. Touches on the shoddy Covid studies and models flood,. Also speaks of 2020 compared to past pandemics, such as 1968, 1957, and 1918, and the death counts. He is obviously censoring himself, as the left tried to get him fired from Standford, but it's still very informative:
  6. Right back at me what, exactly? By definition, true believers are so certain of their truth, that all non-believers are deemed heretic enemies, evil by nature, and must either see the light or be destroyed. Your (wrong) beliefs make you unable to let others choose, you want to force everyone else to do what you believe is right for everyone. Am I trying to make you not wear a mask, or wear one if you have a cold? Am I trying to force you to take multiple shots and ban you from public venues and from being able to work if you don’t comply, and carry a card proving that you did? Am I trying to ban you from the virtual public square if you disagree with me, and censure your arguments and attack you personally, so that I don’t have to answer them? Maybe you should carefully reread both what I wrote and the WHO statements. You don’t appear to grasp the issue, instead, your bolded quote above supports my argument. To restate, again: 1. The WHO claimed that SARS-2 is NOT CONTAGIOUS like the flu, and it is not easily spread (more like Ebola); therefore 2. isolating those infected would limit infections among the general population and contain the disease; therefore 3 the West should immediately follow China’s lockdown and mass tracing example to stop SARS-2. Why is anyone talking about "cases?" These variants are asymptomatic or milder than the current flu for most, why is The WHO not sounding a flu warning and calling for flu vaccine mandates? Why did we abandon all pandemic preparedness plans and change the way we count, the way we test, and the way we discuss scientific matters? Largely, it was led by The WHO as a proxy for Chinese policies. Tedros was rammed through by China, partially because the US did not consider the UN as important as it should have, and allowed China to consolidate power in key positions. Currently, China is fighting a battle to prove that its zero-Covid policy is superior to the West's bumbling and thankfully less draconian response. Tedros is again carrying water for China, just like he did in March of 2020 (see the posts above).
  7. Actually, it was a question specifically about variations in your methionine intake and how it correlates with your data. Cronometer tracks methionine, as well as total protein intake. But I'd be curious about your take on animal vs. plant protein too. I've seen studies claiming that plant protein is considerably less detrimental, and my guess is that its lower methionine content has something to do with it. P.S. A couple of other unrelated questions I've been meaning to ask you: - What Garmin do you use for HRV tracking? - How did you get oxalate values from Cronometer? I don't see a specific field, only the oxalate/calcium ratio -- did you extrapolate, or am I missing something (I haven't really searched in Cronometer)?
  8. Speaking of Covid deaths, here is an interesting freedom of information dump from the UK. Essentially, it resurrects the argument made by Stanford's Michael Levitt in 2020 that if we tested for, defined and counted flu deaths the way we are counting Covid deaths, we might get similar numbers and permanently move to live under our beds, masked and all. A determined minority within our society was able to use Covid to dramatically change all established methodology, from the definitions of a "pandemic" and "infection," to mandating absurdly high cycle-count mass PCR testing, to how we calculate the death rate. And it ain't over yet. Anyway, food for thought:
  9. Ron Put

    War in Ukraine

    The Russians are not desperate, yet. At least not those in the main urban centers, where the impact of the war and the sanctions is still not felt much. Not yet, anyway. And the returning body bags go to villages in Siberia and the ethnic regions, not to Moscow or Saint Petersburg. So the Russians are still in the throws of nationalistic fervor, and Putin is still a "great leader" for the majority, and especially for the older folks, the religious, and the dimmer younger bulbs proud to show the middle finger to the West, while wanting what the West has. Some rather astute observations can be heard here:
  10. Plant foods generally have lower methionine content, so vegans should have a significantly lower intake. I may have missed it, but did you check your methionine intake variations, rather than protein specifically?
  11. Ron Put

    oxalates: are they a problem for calorie restrictors?

    I am not entirely certain that oxalates are the evil responsible for it all. Studies are a mixed bag and individuals may have other conditions too. This is a bit broad, but it does mention oxalates too: Is There Such a Thing as “Anti-Nutrients”? A Narrative Review of Perceived Problematic Plant Compounds
  12. You are a "true believer" and as all true believers, you acknowledge and absorb only information that reinforces your beliefs. This has become your identity and it explains why instead of addressing opposing arguments on their merits, you attack their sources. I wouldn't particularly care, but the true believers invariably attempt to enforce their beliefs on the rest of society, by force if necessary. This is why we ended up with the greatest societal disruption since WWII, and why locales such as San Francisco and Los Angeles continue to force everyone to wear masks while using public transport or Uber, after the CDC was forced to abandon the mandates and after Fauci himself declared the pandemic to be over. And despite the fact that the effectiveness of the mask mandates for the healthy is dubious at best, and contradicts numerous studies going back to the mid-1950s. You see the statement, but you do not seem to see or address the argument. See Todd's comment too, it may help. Yeah, well..., just like other viral and bacterial infections, including influenza. Also, my guess is that the lockdowns and isolation did a lot more damage to the cognitive abilities of the elderly than Covid. But nowadays any study with Covid in the name can get published and make headlines, and the scarier, the more viral it becomes and the more citations it gets. China started the lockdown snowball and Xi's reputation as a "great leader" and protector hinges on it. Just as it does for all the leaders who jumped on the bandwagon and locked up their population, suppressed debate, crashed their economies, and negatively impacted the long-term public health of the majority of the population. And lest we forget, it's worth repeating that the initial justification was that SARS-2 is not easily transmittable and it can be stopped by employing draconian measures: "On Monday, Tedros said, “We have never seen before a respiratory pathogen that’s capable of community transmission but at the same time which can also be contained with the right measures. If this was an influenza epidemic, we would have expected to see widespread community transmission across the globe by now and efforts to slow it down or contain it would not be feasible.” People should try to protect themselves individually from flu strains, said Mike Ryan, the head of the WHO’s emergencies program, but at a societal and global level, “we don’t necessarily attempt to contain or stop them because we fundamentally believe they will spread unabated.”
  13. Ron Put

    Random Lectures and talks you liked

    This is better than most of Patrick's interviews, which are all too often akin to infomercials.
  14. I am always on the prowl to find new stuff to listen to or to watch. In case I am not the only one here, I thought I'd start a topic for just such lectures and talks. Here is something I enjoyed on my hike yesterday:
  15. For those interested in 20th-century Russian history, and especially in Stalin, the best I have read is Stephen Kotkin's "Stalin" (the last volume is not out yet). He is probably my favorite Russian historian and analyst currently. Here are videos discussing the first two Stalin volumes (it's a large body of work): Volume I, part 1: Volume I, part 2: Volume II part 1: Volume II part 2:
  16. It makes sense to me. I have cut my total fat intake significantly since I've been on this forum, based on what I've learned. And I can still remember my password...
  17. It's dangerous to make predictions, but my guess is that a global war is not highly likely. Russia, despite its imperial ambitions, is not a superpower. Its economy is the size of Italy's and while it has lower internal costs, it cannot sustain a protracted war. With sanctions in place and with the exodus of some of its best and brightest, it also lacks the high-tech know-how to remain competitive. Putin may be a dying man in a hurry, and that makes him dangerous. It also means that attempts at apeasement won't work. But Russia's army is no match for NATO's troops. The war has not yet really impacted the major cities in Russia, but once they run out of Syrians and Chechens to do the dirty work, and of Siberian peasant conscripts, body bags with middle-class kids from Moscow and St. Petersburg will have an impact on the current nationalist fervor. The West should make sure that it provides better military equipment to Ukraine, and be ready to rebuild it after the destruction that the Russians are sowing there. My heart goes out to the Ukrainians. China is not ready for war and Xi is not stupid, so I think Russia will be largely on its own. India will have to eventually make a choice, and if it makes the wrong choice, there should be real consequences. My guess is that we are in a new Cold War, but other than Russia, nobody else has an appetite for a global hot war.
  18. Again, for those under 40 Covid was less dangerous than bad flu. Your anecdote doesn't change that fact. Neither does willful ignorance of the similarities between other common infections and this coronavirus, including longer-term effects. The lockdowns and the fear were far more harmful to that group, and to the whole society, and the consequences were predictable. But open debate was snuffed out, opposing views and inconvenient data banned, and people personally attacked, fired, or had their careers destroyed. The impact of deferred treatment, increased drug use, depression and obesity, and often permanent job losses is yet to be fully felt. The trillions of borrowed money doled out by the state over the last two years is the main reason for the rising inflation and for the mass exodus of low-skilled workers from the job market. Similarly to above, neither ignorance nor engaging in magical thinking change the way basic economics works.
  19. I'd be very suspicious of whatever number it shows for BP and temperature (it may still have value as a temperature trend tracker). For HR, get a chest strap and go above 150 bpm several times and compare the results. BTW, what brand/model did you get?
  20. This is an absurd assumption unless your employees are all seniors. Those under 40 were generally less affected by COVID than by a bout of bad flu. The inflation and the reason why there is a shortage of younger employees is because of the lockdowns and crashed economy. The lockdowns were the excuse for canceled student loans, free rent, free business subsidies, and the other billions printed and doled out first by Trump and the House Democrats, and mostly blue states like California, NY, and NJ. Once Biden came in, it became a deluge, because the Left's economists really, really believed that rates will never again go up in the new woke economy. Between all the subsidies, it was more profitable for many to stay home and watch TV than to go to work. That's why one couldn't get an Uber... As to long COVID, many other infections cause long-lasting effects. Even a mild bout of the flu causes lung scarring in 40% of young subjects for as long as 60 days after they were infected. But I guess COVID makes better headlines, and together with Putin makes for a better PR story for the Democrats about why we have such high inflation. Based on your post, it seems to work.
  21. Ron Put

    Random Lectures and talks you liked

    I found this immunology 101 lecture to be particularly informative:
  22. Tea, a couple of caveats: Do not confuse the Samsung watch with the cheap Chinese brands advertising BP sensors. I am not aware of a single Chinese brand that can even deliver good Heart Rate accuracy when doing strenuous exercise, so I would not take any of the BP claims at face value. In fact, Samsung, and to an extent Fitbit, are also less than accurate for strenuous exercise. Only dedicated sports watches such as Garmin manage to be close, as does Apple Watch. The difficulties with precise measurements are why Apple is likely to implement BP as showing trend-only feature, warning of high BP trends but not providing exact numbers. But let's forget accuracy. The other major difference is that mccoy's bracelet tracks continuously, at least during the night, while Samsung doesn't. IMO, this defeats the purpose, as the watch is not as accurate and is generally more expensive than a dedicated BP monitor, and the main advantage I can see for a wearable is continuous tracking.
  23. AP, you appear to be under the impression that all who question the numbers and the policies do it because of ideology and this is why they "put so much effort." These are all valid questions, even if you repeatedly refuse to acknowledge it. It is not ideology, it's in fact reasonably informed opinion based on available evidence. It's not a matter of religious beliefs, yet the Left actively and with religious zeal suppressed open discussion, and persecuted and destroyed those who raised questions and expressed different opinions. This is unprecedented and it should greatly trouble anyone who is not an ideologue or a true believer, regardless on which side of what should have been a reasoned debate they fall.
  24. Ron Put

    GCM installed: trial period

    I guess it's imperative to compare each patch to a blood glucose monitor, otherwise one will not be aware if the patch data is faulty. Bummer, as I am prick-averse and was hoping to pick up a patch when traveling to a country where they are available without a prescription.
  25. mccoy, did you take a baseline before starting berberine? What dosage are you taking? My own berberine experiment was a failure based on blood tests, and I still doubt its effectiveness. But I may be wrong. I did my berberine experiment during a period when I also received two doses of COVID-19 vaccine, and while at the time I did not seriously entertain the idea that the vaccine may have affected my blood measurements, maybe it did after all. I might try another round of berberine after I do my next blood panel. I will again suggest that high-fat diets increase insulin resistance, which would then result in higher spikes when ingesting even whole carbs. It's a vicious circle falsely leading one to attribute the problem to carbs. Based on what I read, it makes sense to me. Don't have the time to do better research, but here is a rat study that pops up at the top of the list: Effect of high fat diet on insulin resistance: dietary fat versus visceral fat mass. The purpose of the present study was to determine whether chronic high-fat diet (HF) induces insulin resistance independently of obesity. We randomly divided 40 rats into two groups and fed them either with a HF or with a high-carbohydrate diet (HC) for 8 weeks. Whole body glucose disappearance rate (Rd) was measured using a euglycemic hyperinsulinemic clamp. Firstly, we defined whether insulin resistance by HF was associated with obesity. Plasma glucose and triglyceride concentrations were significantly increased in HF. Rd was decreased (10.6+/-0.2 vs. 9.1+/-0.2 mg/kg/min in HC and HF, respectively) and the hepatic glucose output rate (HGO) was increased in HF (2.2+/-0.3 vs. 4.5+/-0.2 mg/kg/min in HC and HF, respectively). Rd was significantly correlated with %VF (p<0.01). These results implicate that visceral obesity is associated with insulin resistance induced by HF. In addition, to define whether dietary fat induces insulin resistance regardless of visceral obesity, we compared Rd and HGO between groups 1) after matching %VF in both groups and 2) using an ANCOVA to adjust for %VF. After matching %VF, Rd in HF was significantly decreased by 14% (p<0.001) and HGO was significantly increased by 110% (p<0.001). Furthermore, statistical analyses using an ANCOVA also showed Rd for HF was significantly decreased even after adjusting %VF. In conclusion, we suggest that dietary fat per se could induce insulin resistance in rats fed with chronic HF independently of obesity.
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